研究:2025至2050年全球抑郁症经济负担预计达12万亿美元
$12 Trillion: The Global Cost of Depression Through 2050
《Nature Medicine》一项研究估算,2025至2050年全球抑郁症宏观经济负担将达12万亿美元(以2024年美元计),约占全球年度GDP的0.46%,人均约1400美元。研究基于154个国家的数据,美国负担最高(4.1万亿美元),若计入抑郁症相关自杀死亡,全球负担升至14万亿美元。研究者指出,该研究未评估糖尿病、心脏病等抑郁人群其他死亡因素,且多数患病率数据来自家庭调查而非临床评估。
正文 · 原文
Over the next 25 years, the projected global economic burden of depression is $12 trillion (in 2024 U.S. dollars), according to a study in Nature Medicine. This number represents 0.46% of the world’s projected annual gross domestic product (GDP).
Why It’s Relevant
Major depression is a chronic, debilitating disease that creates a tremendous economic burden by reducing workforce productivity, educational attainment, and recreational activities. Previous analyses of depression’s burden, which generally focus on healthcare costs or losses in quality of life, have not fully captured the macroeconomic consequences of this disease.
By the Numbers
- Researchers collected medical and economic data from 154 countries (encompassing 96% of the world’s population) using publicly available data from the World Bank and other sources.
- They estimated that, between 2025 and 2050, the global macroeconomic burden of depression will be $12 trillion, or about $1,400 per person.
- The United States had the highest economic burden at $4.1 trillion; in terms of GDP, Lesotho had the heaviest burden at 0.77%; and Switzerland had the highest individual cost at $12,251 per person.
- When also factoring in suicide deaths related to depression, the global projected economic burden rose to $14 trillion.
The Other Side
Though the researchers considered the costs of depression-related suicide, they did not assess other contributors to mortality in people with depression, such as elevated rates of diabetes or heart disease. In addition, most of the global prevalence data on depression was derived from household surveys and not clinical assessments.
Takeaway Message
“To lessen the global economic impact of depression, we need to work together to make sure that inexpensive, evidence-based therapies are available and that supportive policies are in place,” the researchers wrote. “Increasing investment in mental health services, especially through integration into primary care, can extend access, eliminate stigma, and promote early intervention, for an estimated yearly cost of only U.S. $1–5 per capita in low-resource countries.”
Related Information
Source
Zhong Cao, et al. Global economic burden of depression in 154 countries from 2025 to 2050. Nature Medicine. Published July 28, 2026. Doi: 10.1038/s41591-026-04548-7
(Image: Getty Images/iStock/Nanci Santos)
来源:美国精神医学学会 · Psychiatric News · alert.psychnews.org